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NFL Week 3 Super Contest Picks

YTD Record: 4-6

  • Yes, I went 0-5 in Week 1. Kill me. 4-1 in Week 2 because the Eagles couldn’t pull out the win against the Falcons. Carson Wentz was running for his life, Nelson Agholor still drops the ball at the worst fucking times, and Zach Ertz had to run a route just 1 yard short. Eagles should have one. We don’t talk about Week 1. Don’t go back and look at those picks.

Detroit Lions (+6.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)

  • 12:00 PM CST on FOX
  • The Lions are a better team than I think people are giving them credit for.
  • I thought a ton of coaching mistakes led to the Lions tying the Cardinals instead of them being completely outplayed although they should have won in OT.
  • The Eagles have a ton of injuries and right now that OL isn’t looking as beastly as they did at the before the season started.
  • Carson Wentz has taken a ton of hits and now he’s going against a pretty solid Lions DL.
  • Found this tweet from our boy Ron Jaworski that does not bode well for the Eagles if Goedert can’t play. Eagles can’t run the ball that means more drop-backs for Wentz without Goedert, Jackson, and Jeffrey.
  • I like Stafford and the passing game against a average at best Eagles secondary. Kenny Golladay and TJ Hockenson should have some big games based on the Eagles secondary performance the first two weeks.
  • I really like the Lions to cover a 6.5 spread. To me the lines so big because people don’t respect Patricia as a HC, and just the name “Detroit Lions” is synonymous with shitty football. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see the Lions pull out a win in Philadelphia.

Carolina Panthers (-2.5) @ Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)

  • 3:05 PM CST on FOX
  • Cam Newton probably isn’t going to play this game which mean Kyle Allen will be starting in Arizona for the Panthers.
  • The Cardinals defense has actually looked a lot better than most people thought they would at the start of the season. Even though they’ve given up over 20 points in each game, right now you would have to take the Lions and Ravens offense over the Panthers.
  • The Panthers will win this game if Christian McCaffrey has an all time game, but the Cardinals will probably stack the box with 8 guys and make Kyle Allen beat them.
  • The first three quarters of Kyler Murray’s career were bad but since then he’s played well.
  • If Kliff Kingsbury had some nuts the Cardinals could have actually beat the Ravens on the road. Instead he kicked three field goals inside the five yard line. THREE.
  • Just like McCaffrey is the key to the Panthers offense, the Cardinals really need to get David Johnson going. That’s hard to do however when you probably have the worst OL in the league.
  • Speaking of OL’s, hopefully the Panthers fix their protection issues or else Kyle Allen is going to get killed back there. Against the Buccaneers the Panthers LT Daryl Williams was getting worked by Shaq Barrett all night. Maybe rookie Greg Little gets some playing time on Sunday?
  • Even if Cam was playing, I think I would still like the Cardinals in this situation. Outside of McCaffrey and some plays by Greg Olsen the Panthers offense has looked pretty bad. Until Cam gets fully healthy, this offense is going to have its ups and downs all year.
  • I’ll take the Cardinals to cover and I like them to win this game outright.

Baltimore (+6.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5)

  • 12:00 PM CST on CBS
  • The biggest game of the Week 3 is at noon folks. Rematch of last years game where the Chiefs came out on top in OT, and yes Lamar Jackson played in that game.
  • Ravens have a good defense but they’ve gone up against the Dolphins and a rookie QB in Kyler Murray. Patrick Mahomes and company is a hole different problem.
  • The good news for the Ravens is that Tyreek Hill won’t play and it’s possible RB’s LeSean McCoy and Damien Williams could both miss this game, or maybe just one of them will.
  • Also good news for the Ravens is the jury is still out on the Chiefs new defense. They shut down the Raiders after the first quarter but that’s the Raiders. The Ravens are much better on offense with Lamar running the show.
  • The Ravens are also going to have better weapons this year, then they did last year in Kansas City. WR Marquise Brown, RB Mark Ingram, and TE Mark Andrews are all proving to be great players (yes, we already knew Ingram was good).
  • I also love John Harbaugh as a coach, I don’t think he gets enough recognition for what he’s done in Baltimore. Harbuagh will have this team ready to go.
  • I like the Ravens to cover at 6.5. As good at Pat Mahomes is I don’t think this is a team the Chiefs run away from unless the Ravens make a ton of mistakes on offense and the Chiefs get some cheap TDs or short fields to work with on offense.

Los Angeles Rams (-3) @ Cleveland Browns (+3)

  • 7:20 PM CST on NBC
  • Right off the bat I just don’t trust Cleveland. Something is just off about this team even when they aren’t making a ton of mistakes.
  • The offense looks out of sync, most likely due to having an awful offensive line and now they have to go up against Aaron Donald, Clay Matthews, and Dante Fowler Jr.
  • Cleveland also needs to cut the shit on the penalties that keep killing them. Two games in and they’ve had 27 penalties called on them. The Jets, 49ers, and Bucs come in second with 20. 13.5 penalties a game is not going to cut it. If the Browns want to win they need to be under that number by a lot.
  • The Rams offense hasn’t been as explosive as last year but they still look very good. It looks like they’re still adjusting a little bit to not having Todd Gurley get 20-25 touches per game.
  • Cooper Kupp looks phenomenal and my prediction of him being Jared Goff’s favorite target looks correct.
  • The Rams have just been solid all around and I see them going into Cleveland soundly. I don’t know if they win by double digits but they cover three points at least.

Cincinnati Bengals (+6) @ Buffalo Bills (-6)

  • 12:00 PM CST on CBS
  • Cincinnati is going to screw over a lot of bettors this year. They seem like a team that one week is going to show up and play well (see the Seattle game), and then lay a turd the next (see the 49ers game).
  • Cinci is going to have a pretty solid offense this year with Zac Taylor drawing up plays, and they do have some good talent on offense with WRs Ross and Boyd, RB Joe Mixon, and TE Tyler Eifert if he can stay healthy.
  • The Bills on the other hand are still settling into their new play-makers on offense, and its clear Josh Allen and John Brown are clicking. Brown has caught 7 balls in the Bills first two games.
  • The Bills do lose rookie RB Devin Singletary this game so its up to the ageless wonder Frank Gore and TJ Yeldon to carry the running duties against a shotty Bengals defense.
  • This is Buffaloes home opener and they are going to be fired the fuck up.
  • I think this is a closer game and the Bengals show up for at least a half, but I like the Bills defense to stifle the Bengals offense in the second half and take a commanding lead.
  • Give me the Bills to cover the 6.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, left, and Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson greet each other after last year’s overtime game in Kansas City. (Charlie Riedel/AP)
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