Advertisements
Golf Sports Betting

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM Preview

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am will be held from February 4th through February 10th.  It is played at three different courses in Pebble Beach, CA at Pebble Beach Golf Links, Monterey Peninsula Country Club (Shore Course), and Spyglass Hill Golf Course.

Purse: $7,600,000

Winner: $1,368,000

TV Schedule (CST)

  • Thursday February 7th: 2:00 PM – 5:00 PM on Golf Channel
  • Friday February 8th: 2:00 PM – 5:00 PM on Golf Channel
  • Saturday February 9th: 12:00 PM – 1:45 PM on Golf Channel
  • Saturday February 9th: 2:00 PM – 5:00 PM on CBS
  • Sunday February 10th: 12:00 PM – 1:45 PM on Golf Channel
  • Sunday February 10th: 2:00 PM – 5:30 PM on CBS

Weather

pebble beACH weather

So this will play huge factor in the tournament this week, just look back to Sunday in Phoenix how rain and wind can affect how guys score.  It’ll be important what day guys get to play to Monterey Peninsula.  Those guys playing Monterey on Thursday could have a huge advantage over everyone else.

With the Pro-Am style of play and the weather, I wouldn’t be surprised if this tournament finishes late or on Monday. I also expect the weather to make the scoring a little higher than normal.

Whose Teeing Off

Pebble Beach is easily the biggest Pro-Am of the year and the filed consists of 156 professionals, and amateurs that will all get to play three rounds, one at each course where the cut is finally made on Sunday.

Some big names will be here like DJ, Spieth, Jason Day, Phil, Adam Scott, and Kuchar among others.  Tommy Fleetwood will be making his first appearance here in the U.S.  Some notable names missing are Tiger, JT, Rory, Dechambeau, Bubba Watson, and Rickie Fowler who won last week.

Let’s look at some of the pairings we’ll be seeing during the week.

  • Dustin Johnson & Wayne Gretzky
  • Jordan Spieth & Jake Owen
  • Jerry Kelly & Aaron Rodgers
  • Kevin Streelman & Larry Fitzgerald
  • Kenny Perry & Darius Rucker
  • Steve Stricker & Toby Keith
  • Jim Furyk & Tony Romo

There are two cuts this week since this Pro-Am plays all four days as well, also the pro’s cut is a little different then most tournaments.  Each player and amateur will have the opportunity to play all the three courses on a rotating basis with most of the coverage following the guys playing Pebble Beach. After 3 rounds the cuts will be as follows:

Pro’s: Top 60 plus ties (normally top 70 and ties)

Pro-Am’s: Top 25 teams plus ties

So you can get some pro’s who not make the cut but maybe their team does, although that is not likely.  You can also get a situation where you have a Pro-Am team playing with just a pro.

The final round on Sunday will be played on Pebble Beach.

Recent History

ted potter jr

  • Defending Champ: Ted Potter Jr. (-17)
  • Pro-Am Champs: Kevin Streelman & Larry Fitzgerald

Past Winners

  • 2017: Jordan Spieth (-19)
  • 2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17)
  • 2015: Brandt Snedeker (-22)
  • 2014: Jimmy Walker (-11)
  • 2013: Brandt Snedeker (-19)
  • 2012: Phil Mickelson (-17)
  • 2011: D.A. points (-15)
  • 2010: Dustin Johnson (-16)
  • 2009: Dustin Johnson (-15)

Other Notable Finishes

  • Dustin Johnson has played very well here, finishing 2nd in 2018, 2014, 3rd in 2017, 4th in 2015, 5th in 2012, and also 8th in 2010 at the U.S. Open playing all four rounds at Pebble Beach.  DJ loves it here.
  • Phil Mickelson has also won four times at this tournament.  He also has two 2nd place finishes in 2018 and 2016, along with a 9th in 2011, and finished 4th at the U.S. Open in 2010.
  • Jason Day has played well here, 2nd in 2018, 5th in 2017, 11th in 2016, 4th in 2015, and 6th in 2013.
  • Jordan Speith has a 7th in 2015 to go along with a 4th in 2014.
  • Jimmy Walker has finished 8th in 2018, 3rd in 2013, and finished 9th two years in a row in 2011 and 2012.

The Courses

Pebble Beach: Par 72 at 6,816 yards

Designed by Jack Neville & Douglas Grant in 1919

The key here is the four par 5’s which most guys can get all of them in two shots for eagle attempts.  Even though that is the case, the par 5’s on the front nine play under par usually while the back nine par 5’s play over par. Some other course notes, they have thickened the rough here and narrowed some of the fairways. So why have they done this?  Well, the U.S. Open is being held at Pebble Beach this year and the USGA has already started changes.  Combine that with the smallest greens on tour, and the weather this is going to be a tough course to play.  Let’s take a look at some of the notable holes.

#7 – 106 yard Par 3

PB #7

One of the most famous and shortest holes in golf.  It is without a doubt the most well known Par 3 in golf and is at the top of every golfers bucket list to play. This hole plays at just 106 yards but they have played this hole at 100 yard before.  What makes it difficult is the wind coming off the ocean for guys to decide what club to play.  CBS will show give us golf porn over and over again with shots of this hole.

#8 – 427 yard Par 4

This is another iconic hole.  It sits at 427 yards but players need to layup with an iron because a ridge breaks this hole up into two parts.  Closer guys get to that ridge, better a shot they’ll have.  Their second shot is then over the ocean to a tiny green that is protected by bunkers on three sides.

#18 – 543 yard Par 5

PB #18 2PB 18

Pebble Beach also gets to boast one of the most famous par 5’s in the world along with the two above.  This final hole is a very exciting one to watch.  Guys can get here in two but they have to avoid the bunker and ocean on the left, and the huge tree that lies on the right.  A lot of guys will try to go over the ocean to hit the fairway.  If your going safe, try to hit it at that tree on the right and then draw/fade it into the fairway. On your second shot you have the bunker along the left side all the way up to the green to worry about.  One of the best closing holes in golf.

#4 – 331 Yard Par 4

PB #4

Gotta add one hole that isn’t one of the most famous in golf.  #4 offers a great birdie chance for all players because it is so short.  Some golfers, like DJ, will be able to drive this green in one shot.  What makes it difficult is the green is surrounded bunkers on three sides and is sloped on the back and front.  With the weather we’ll probably see more layups than anything, but ya never know.  Maybe with slow, wet greens more guys will take chances to roll one up and not have it go off the back into a bunker.

Monterey Peninsula: Par 71 at 6,958 yards

Designed by Bob Baldock in 1961 and Redesigned by Mike Strantz in 2004

This course is really all Mike Strantz.  He completely redesigned this course in 2004 and brought it to what it is today. This one is typically the easier course of the three so expect to see guys go low here on when they get the chance.  Also based on the weather, look for the guys who play Thursday to try and take advantage of the good conditions.

#7 – 226 Yard Par 3

MP #7

A long par 3 on the front nine this hole has a bit of an elevated green from the tee box.  The green here slopes on the front down to the left and the back has a ridge that will get ya if you hit the ball too far.

#11 – 181 Yard Par 3

MP #11 - 2

Another par 3 that looks absolutely beautiful. You have the backdrop of the ocean with those cypress tree in the back and a few sand traps on the left and right hand sides.  This hole is awesome.

Spyglass Hill: Par 72 at 6,953 yards

Designed by Robert Trent Jones in 1966

All four par 5’s here are also get-able in two shots.  Difference between here and Pebble is that all four par 5’s played under par last year. The first five holes of Spyglass are also remarkable, all open up and play by the ocean and lots of sand before going back into the forest on the Peninsula. Let’s take a look a few notable holes.

#1 Treasure Island – 595 Yard Par 5

This par 5 opens up with a dog leg left where it seems like your playing in the woods.  However, at the dog leg it opens up and you get a great view of the ocean.

SH #1

#3 Black Hole – 172 Yard Par 3

I think the picture below says it all but the tee box is elevated above the green which runs front to back and is surrounded by sand dunes on all sides, with one actual sand bunker in front of the green guarding any short shots.

SH #3.PNG

Intangibles

PB Clubhouse

Well usually this tournament is set in one of the beautiful places in golf, but just like last week the weather doesn’t look like its going to hold up here.  Just based on where each course is, and the views you have these three courses have golf porn written all over them. The clubhouse is a very nice location but I’ve seen cooler looking ones.  Also I’m sure a beer is like $12 there so fuck that. The field here is always good and its huge, you get three days of seeing everybody play even if they suck.  Also, you get that fun golf atmosphere with the amateurs playing and interacting with the audience.  It’s a tournament I would love to attend.

Picks

Shane Lowry

One & Done: We got six figures from Matt Kuchar last week which was a good start to the year.  I am all about the winner of this tournament coming from play Monterey Peninsula on Thursday with the good weather and getting out to an early lead.  Some notable names we have to choose from are DJ, Spieth, Phil, Adam Scott, Tommy Fleetwood, Kuchar, and Chez Reavie.  Also with the weather, and pace of play I think a guy who has a relaxed, don’t give a shit attitude will do well this weekend. This is also a tournament where big and small names have won in the past and its kind of a crap shoot every year.  I am going to roll with Shane Lowry this week and save a big name for later on in the year.

Betting Winner: Tommy Fleetwood (+2200), Braden Grace (+3500), Jimmy Walker (+10000)

Fleetwood has not played here before, but based on the weather it’s not like he’s leaving England.  I love Fleetwood to have a big year and he’s got a good shot as a new comer to do well here.  Grace showed how well he can play in poor conditions last week.  Jimmy Walker, great track record and has shown he can play with the top guys.

Top 5: Jason Day (+200), Dustin Johnson (+150), Chez Reavie (+550), Russel Henley (+1600), Matt Kuchar (+400).

Obviously Day and DJ have great records at this course. Reavie played well last week and finished second here last year.  Henley finished 15th last year so he’s a decent long shot, and although Kuchar hasn’t played well here in the past you gotta ride the hot hand until it fizzles out, not a bad choice to throw some bones down on.

Top 10: Phi Mickelson (+250), Jimmy Walker (+900), Ted Potter Jr. (+1100), Shane Lowry (+350)

Obviously anybody you like the top 5, you’re gonna like top 10.  Phil’s odds here a pretty good because more than anyone, Phil can play out of his mind or just play like trash a meltdown.  I like his chances here in the top 10.  Jimmy Walker has a great track record here but hasn’t played well lately. Potter Jr. won here last year, why not take the chance on another good performance. Lowry won three weeks ago and has made the cut all four years he’s played here, highest finish has been 14.

One & Done History

Waste Management Open: Matt Kuchar – $293,467 (Top 5)

Advertisements

0 comments on “AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM Preview

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

%d bloggers like this: